Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.177565 0.200274 0.224215 0.251284 0.280981 0.312513 0.348469
2025-05-18 0.150942 0.182187 0.216923 0.258209 0.305741 0.358544 0.421426
2025-05-25 0.126969 0.162814 0.204570 0.256395 0.318549 0.390238 0.478692
2025-06-01 0.109136 0.147893 0.194988 0.255721 0.331198 0.421104 0.535411
2025-06-08 0.094870 0.135350 0.186493 0.254781 0.342388 0.449749 0.589857
2025-06-15 0.085835 0.128274 0.183787 0.260214 0.361007 0.487571 0.656436
2025-06-22 0.076371 0.119438 0.177709 0.260321 0.372154 0.515819 0.711474
2025-06-29 0.068274 0.111539 0.171989 0.260084 0.382269 0.542554 0.764966
2025-07-06 0.061343 0.104525 0.166743 0.259806 0.391843 0.568443 0.817739
2025-07-13 0.056240 0.099670 0.164051 0.262672 0.405499 0.599887 0.878528
2025-07-20 0.052820 0.097035 0.164294 0.269555 0.424812 0.639393 0.951143
2025-07-27 0.048484 0.092471 0.161198 0.271143 0.436351 0.668259 1.009754
2025-08-03 0.045126 0.089334 0.160254 0.276166 0.453504 0.706183 1.083086
2025-08-10 0.042668 0.087475 0.161146 0.283959 0.474977 0.750864 1.167207
2025-08-17 0.038544 0.082257 0.156171 0.282170 0.481790 0.774480 1.221900
2025-08-24 0.035075 0.077842 0.152143 0.281537 0.490153 0.800412 1.280440
2025-08-31 0.031911 0.073644 0.148122 0.280572 0.497782 0.825287 1.337908
2025-09-07 0.030149 0.071956 0.148295 0.286482 0.516361 0.866962 1.421037
2025-09-14 0.027679 0.068586 0.145202 0.286615 0.525552 0.894522 1.483710
2025-09-21 0.025390 0.065327 0.142037 0.286367 0.533980 0.920992 1.545234
2025-09-28 0.023309 0.062264 0.138983 0.286072 0.542191 0.947207 1.606848
2025-10-05 0.021823 0.060329 0.137905 0.289177 0.556095 0.982599 1.683220
2025-10-12 0.020946 0.059665 0.139219 0.296625 0.577537 1.030391 1.779730